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Bank Negara cuts OPR to 1.75%, lowest in 16 years

7/8/2020

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Something you need to know: ​

Some of you might ask what is OPR 马来西亚隔夜政策利率? OPR is the central bank’s policy rate used by banks to set interest rates for loans.  OPR是马来西亚银行设定贷款利率的指南。
​

The OPR is determined by Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) on a variety of factors and serves as a guide for local banks to determine their own lending rates, both to each other and to the consumer, so cut of OPR will of course bring pros and cons to consumer. It is used to manage the supply and demand for money in the market and forms the backbone of monetary policy. ​​
就是一家金融机构利用手头上充裕的资金借出给另一家金融机构的短期贷款利率(通常是隔夜计算),而这种利率只在各金融机构里互相流通。

Everyone especially households and business owners are waiting to see if Bank Negara Malaysia at its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting today will trim OPR further to stimulate growth in current economic tough times. Well, lower interest rates will ease the debt burdens on companies and consumers.

It is not surprising when BNM announce the cut of OPR today, mark our Bank Negara Malaysia’s 4th policy easing this year, a period in which the economy has faced a triple whammy of coronavirus pandemic, low oil prices and political uncertainty. 

W
hat about other country? 
  • England: cut to  0.1%  (https://www.bbc.com/news/business-51962982)
  • US : Cut  to 0.25%  (https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/interest-rate)

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I did a overview of the interest rate cut this year as below. ​
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Source: ​
  • https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/bnm-cuts-opr-25bps-175
  • https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2020/07/07/malaysia-set-to-cut-opr-to-record-low

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​​Impact of the
cut in OPR

The Cut is Good for Country's economy ​

According to The STAR on 7 July 2020, the decision to reduce the OPR is aimed at accelerating the rate of recovery and further stimulate the country's economy.  Another way it means to help the economy recover because it supports consumption and investment spending.

"The government believes that this move, combined with proactive measures deployed since March 2020 under the PRIHATIN and PRIHATIN SME+ economic stimulus packages and, more recently the National Economic Recovery Plan (PENJANA), will be able to regenerate the economy by creating jobs, restoring consumer and investor confidence, as well as containing the likelihood of a sharp economic contraction,


​Impact to Consumer? 

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1. Fixed Deposit-定期存款  Lower savings/FD rate

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Savers looking for more returns on their savings accounts and fixed deposits will be disappointed. I I believe  further interest rates for these savings instruments will be reduced in tandem with the OPR cut. 
Advice: We must re-assess our savings or investment strategy to ensure we still get the most optimal returns.

2. House Loan 房贷 lower rate

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The Lower OPR means you are now able to obtain loans from the bank at a lower rate. Borrowers of flexible interest rate loans will enjoy lower loan servicing payments once banks adjust their base lending rates. A number of banks have since adjusted their rates.

I take one example: 
1. If you took a personal five-year loan of RM50,000 at 7% interest, with the OPR cut you will be paying RM20 less in monthly instalments. 

2. For a 30-year mortgage loan of RM300,000, the monthly instalment is reduced by about RM100 if the bank’s interest rate is reduced correspondingly from 4.5% to 4.0. 



3. Property-房地产   new housing loan? 

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​Lower borrowing costs would encourage businesses and households, particularly those with good credit scores, to consider taking on new loans.

4. Stock Market 股市

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People will slowly transfer out their savings due to the lower savings/FD rates and put in investment which can provide higher return.  When people started to invest in stocks market will help to stimulate economy's growth. 

5. Import Industries 进口业  

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Malaysia ringgit’s weakening also means that goods from overseas will be more expensive. This can potentially affect the country’s economic growth, as many of Malaysia’s projects designed to spur growth are dependent on imports such as highly sophisticated machinery, construction materials, foreign consultant services etc. ​

6. Export Industries 出口业

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OPR reduced will weaken Malaysia Ringgit also. As the weaker ringgit means Malaysian goods will be relatively cheaper compared to their competitors worldwide. Hence, the increased exports should therefore increase output and investment in local enterprises, increasing the opportunities for employment for you and me.


Conclusion: 

When the country experiences strong economic growth, the central bank will consider higher OPRs to discourage overspending as the latter might lead to increased inflation for the country as a whole. 

The higher lending rates that come with increased OPRs will also mean higher interest rates that attract savings in the banks, discourage indiscriminate borrowing and encourages responsible spending.

Alternatively, when the economy is generally found to be slowing the central bank will then consider lower OPR bands to encourage domestic spending, and help GDP growth. 
​

This has been used effectively in large economies to spur economic growth, for example in the US, where rates reach 0% with direct liquidity injections conducted through quantitative easing to support the local economy.

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Is there an alternative for FD/savings account? 


Quick Questions to you: 

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1. Do you want an investment that offers a steady cash flow & yet provide stability (lower risk fund) ?
2.
Do you have any Fixed deposit going to due?  
3. Do you put all your savings in bank/FD? 
4. Do you aware with the lower saving/FD rates offered by bank after the 4th cut in OPR?

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CONTACT ME
For your info: 

隔夜政策利率 OPR - Overnight Policy Rate 的由来?
马来西亚国家银行在2004年引用银行隔夜政策利率(Overnight Policy Rate ,OPR)为政府货币政策和管制市场游资的新指标,其用意旨在加强银行体系的良性竞争,为经济带来正面影响。
马来西亚的隔夜政策利率相当于美国的贴现率,是国家银行贷款给商业银行的政策利率;因此,隔夜政策利率的水平,也间接决定了银行发给存款人的利息及贷款利息水平。国家银行让个别银行自定贷款利率,但控制存款利率,可确保存户取得实际的正面回酬,不会受银行利率赚幅压缩的影响。根据国家银行的说法,选定OPR为指标利率,主要是此指标利率相对较稳定,国银仍可通过此利率调控货币政策。在这个利率架构下,如果国银调高OPR,即是紧缩货币政策,反之,就是放宽,整体政策更具透明度。
从此以后,OPR 就成了马来西亚人民最关注的利率指标之一。

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Take Opportunities to invest in A Share

7/1/2020

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I'm glad that we have the opportunities in China 'A' Share.- Public China Access Equity Fund. 
Our china funds are mainly invested in 'H' Share all this while for intance: Public Greater China Fund, Public China Ittikal Fund, Public China Titan Fund.  

I want to highlight one thing here:
so basically, Public China Access Equity Fund Concentrated in large-capitalization stocks listed on the China A-share market whereas Public Mutual’ s Other China Funds Largely focus on H-shares market &  Also invest in Hong Kong and Taiwan stocks.

What you think about 'A' Share fund? 

some differences between 'A' Share vs 'H' Share

What is the differences between 'A' Share and 'H' Share? 

China incorporated companies listed in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) can issue different classes of share depending on where they are listed and which investors are allowed to own them. The classes are A, B and H, which are all renminbi-denominated shares but traded in different currencies, depending on where they are listed.

​Publicly traded companies in China generally fall under three share categories:
  • A Share - A Shares are securities of Chinese incorporated companies that trade on either the Shanghai or Shenzhen stock exchanges. They are traded in Renminbi (Chinese Yuan). They can only be traded by residents of the People’s Republic of China or under the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII), the Renminbi Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (RQFII) rules, or via the Stock Connect programs.
  • H Share -H Shares are securities of companies incorporated in the People’s Republic of China that trade on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. They are traded in Hong Kong dollars. Like other securities trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, there are no restrictions on who can trade H Shares. 
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Fund Objective of PCASEF​

To achieve capital growth over the medium to long term period by investing in a portfolio of investments in the China market and including China-based companies* listed on domestic and foreign markets.  ​
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Below is our China fund comparison: 
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Who Should Invest? 
This Fund is suitable for medium to long-term investors who are able to withstand ups and downs of the stock market in pursuit of capital growth​. 
For a better investment result, you need to determine your fund purpose. Don't ever utilise emergency fund to invest into higher risk fund.  For emergency fund, we have Cash deposit fund to cater for you. 
low_fd_rate_readings.pdf
File Size: 687 kb
File Type: pdf
Download File

public_china_access_fund_proposal_.pdf
File Size: 502 kb
File Type: pdf
Download File


CONTACT ME FOR FURTHER INFO
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Fixed Deposit Rate/savings rate Low?

6/30/2020

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Fixed deposit remains one of the best conservative ways to save your money due to its PROS guaranteed returns, higher interest rates (compared to conventional savings accounts) and protection by PIDM.  Have you notice recent Fixed deposit/savings is lower? 

Let me share with you the latest Fixed Deposit rate offered by different banks & Its Pros & Cons

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What Happens When You Terminate A Fixed Deposit Early?

1) For fixed deposit accounts of 1 – 3 months
Question:

If your fixed deposit accounts with terms of one month, two month or three month, you premature withdrawal would see you entitle interest rate?
No. 

Question: 
Even if you opt to make an early withdrawal one day before the maturity date, you still will enjoy interest rate? 

No, 
you will not earn a single sen in interest.
​
2) For fixed deposit accounts of more than 3 months
Question: 
1.
If you opt to initiate a premature withdrawal any time you still entitle interest rate? 
No. 
​
Question:
I
f you opt to initiate a premature withdrawal AFTER three months, you will still earn interests? 
Yes, but only at half of the interest rate you were offered.  In another word, 50% of the interest you’ve earned is retained by the bank as charges for early withdrawal.
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Malaysia Interest Rate : OPR

6/30/2020

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In Malaysia, the interest rate decisions are taken by The Central Bank of Malaysia (Bank Negara Malaysia). The official interest rate is the Overnight Policy Rate.

What is OPR?
Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) is an overnight interest rate set by Bank Negara.
​This overnight policy rate or interest rate is a rate a borrower bank has to pay to a leading bank for the funds borrowed.
​
Still don't understand? Maybe I explain in this way. 
You may wonder why a bank would be borrowing from another bank, but you must understand that bank makes money by lending money out and not by keeping money. Thus, bank will lend out as much money as possible in terms of loans, and maintaining the minimal cash as requested by Bank Negara.  However, in the event that cash withdrawal exceeded the amount of cash available, the particular bank will need to borrow cash from other banks, and make an interest rate, which is the OPR.


  • OPR rate has an effect on the country’s employment, economic growth and inflation.
  • In brief, OPR is an indicator of the health of a country’s overall economy and banking system.

Graph shown the Historical Interest Rate in Malaysia: 
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Source: 
​https://tradingeconomics.com/malaysia/interest-rate

3 times OPR Cut in year 2020 
2019-11-05
​
Malaysia Keeps Interest Rate at 3%  
2020-03-03
​
Malaysia Cuts Key Interest Rate to 2.5% 
2020-01-22
​
Malaysia Cuts Key Rate to 2.75% Unexpectedly 
2020-05-05
​
Malaysia Cuts Key Interest Rate to 2% 
Will OPR reduce again this July? 
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2020/07/07/bank-negara-cuts-overnight-policy-rate-by-25bps-to-175
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7 JULY 2020:  Bank Negara cuts overnight policy rate by 25bps to 1.75% ​

I did a summary of the impact of OPR Cut to the Country & Individual: 

1. OPR cut generally positive in impact for businesses and the economy.
  • Economy: The rate cut is with the intention to boost household spending and boost the overall Malaysian economy. Inflation may increase. 
  • Business: Generally positive as most businesses will fare better with lower borrowing costs and increased domestic consumer spending. Sectors that may benefit include consumer goods, discretionary goods, property, construction, and exporters.
  • Banks: Reduced profitability with lower interest rates and thus profits reduced. The impact on banks net profit according to our calculations to be around -2% to -3%.
  • Importers: there may be a negative impact for importers whose base currency is in Ringgit if there is any impact from a further weakening Ringgit due to the rate cut as the cost of goods would increase.​

2. OPR cut Effect on individual
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  • Lower Returns for savings & Fixed Deposits. 
  • Lower Loan interest rate. Whether it’s a car loan, personal loan, credit cards or home loan, you will benefit from the OPR reduction. For example, if your mortgage loan is pegged to the BLR/BFR, the OPR reduction will lead to a lower mortgage interest rate, which means that you’ll be paying lower monthly repayments.
BLR is the rate that is determined by conventional banks based on the cost of lending to consumers. 
​BFR is a rate determined by Islamic banks based on the cost of lending to consumers.

(CASH STUDY)
​
Here’s an example of how this works if OPR cut 0.25% 
Loan amount : RM500,000
Loan tenure: 30 years
BR: 3.65%           BR: 3.65% – 0.25%= 3.40% 
Home loan interest rate
Before: 
4.45% (3.65% + 0.80%)
Monthly repayment : RM2,518.59
Total interest paid over 30 years :
RM406,693

After OPR cut: 
4.20% (3.40% + 0.80%)
Monthly repayment:  RM2,445.09
Total interest paid over 30 years  : RM380,232.40


  1. 0.25% reduction will result in RM26,460.60 savings over a 30-year loan tenure.
  2. RM73.50 reduction in their monthly repayment. 
  3. Over the loan period, you can see a savings of 6% and a monthly savings of close to 3%​ ​

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Latest Housing Loan Interest rate as at March 2020

Below is the latest Fixed Deposit rate after OPR cut as your reference 
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Be the bull in a bear market – stop procrastination

6/29/2020

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I would highlight some important point from today The Star. 

Procrastination is one of the mankind's biggest weaknesses. But in the world of finance, procrastination can result in an opportunity loss to mitigate risk and in growing wealth – sometimes an opportunity which can never be recovered. After all, it takes time for any investment to compound into a significant figure

Highlight some of the common reasons people use to put off taking actions on their financial matters.


  1. I Don’t have enough time to plan and invest. 
  2. Later is a concept that is never ending. 
  3. I don’t have enough money to plan and invest”. Most people don’t realise it, but having enough money is a matter of perspective. If you don’t have enough money to invest when you’re earning RM5,000 a month, do you think you will have enough to invest when you’re earning RM50,000 a month? Believe it or not, I have met several people earning around RM50,000 or more per month and still lament about not having enough to save and invest.
  4. We always think along the lines of “if only we make more money”, but once we actually start making more money, our expenses and lifestyle will also go up a notch. So, if you’re waiting for a time when you feel you have enough money to save and invest, that time will never come.
  5.  I don’t really need to invest. This fallacy of not needing to invest stems from the fact that when they retire someday, they will have their EPF savings to rely on. Technically, if you are earning a comfortable amount and do not make any EPF withdrawals before you retire, you may be right in thinking this. However, this is hardly the case. EPF has reported that more than two-thirds (68%) of EPF members aged 54 had less than RM50,000 in EPF savings, while only 18% of its members had the minimum savings target of RM240,000 in their account by 55. This amounts to a monthly withdrawal of RM1,000 to cover basic needs for 20 years – sufficient if you want to live a basic retirement lifestyle, but nowhere near what is needed for a comfortable retirement in a middle-class lifestyle.

Advice: 
What you need to do:

Take a long hard look at your expenses. This is critical since we are now in challenging economic times. Mindfully track your spending habits for a month and cut back on luxuries that you can live without.

If it helps, set up a standing instruction with your bank to automatically transfer a portion of your salary into another bank account. Use that to start investing.
​
​Every small portion helps, so don’t think that cutting back on a small luxury is insignificant.
Source: 
​https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2020/06/29/be-the-bull-in-a-bear-market
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